IPL playoffs scenarios: With 13 matches to go, Delhi Capitals have 58.2% chance of progressing - odds for each team explained

Image credit: BCCI/IPL

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We look at the probabilities:

Team

Best case scenario

Worst case scenario

Chances (%) of making or tying for top 4

Chances (%) of making or tying for top 2

RCB

Sole topper with 22 pts. Can happen if they win remaining games and GT lose at least one

End up 5th. Can happen if they lose all their remaining games

99.7

76.1

GT

Sole topper with 22 pts. Can happen if they win their remaining games and RCB lose one or more

Finish 5th by losing all remaining games

99.3

74.7

PBKS

Sole topper with 21 pts. Can happen if they win remaining games and both RCB and GT lose at least one

Finish 6th by losing all remaining games

90.2

44.5

MI

Sole topper with 18 pts. Can happen if they win remaining games, RCB and GT lose their remaining games, PBKS lose two and DC one

Finish 7th by losing all remaining games

62.0

15.9

DC

Sole topper with 19 pts. Can happen if they win remaining games and RCB, GT and PBKS lose two each

Finish 7th by losing all the remaining games

58.2

14.8

LSG

Finish tied 2nd on 16 pts with RCB, MI and GT. Can happen if they win remaining games, RCB and GT lose all of theirs, MI lose one and either PBKS also lose all their games or DC wins no more than one

Finish 8th by losing all the remaining games

8.6

0.1

KKR

Finish tied for 4th on 15 with DC and possibly PBKS. Can happen if they win remaining games, RCB and GT lose theirs, PBKS lose two, DC and MI lose one each

Finish joint 7th by losing all the remaining games

2.1

0.0

How we arrive at the probabilities:

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NEW DELHI: With 13 games remaining in the league stage, CSK, RR and SRH are already out of contention for the playoffs. GT, RCB and PBKS are almost sure to make the knock-out stage, but MI and DC still have an even chance while LSG and KKR have slim chances.There remain 8,192 possible combinations of results, so nothing is for sure yet for any of the seven remaining in the race.There are 8,192 possible combinations of results remaining with 13 games to go. For each team, we looked at how many of these end up with them being among the top four either singly or tied.We also looked at how many combinations put each team in the top two either singly or jointly.For instance, GT finish in the top four in 8,136 of the possible combinations of match outcomes, translating to a 99.3% chance.In 6,120 of them they end up first or second, singly or jointly, translating to a 74.7% chance.

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