The ATP Cincinnati tournament is down to one match, the final, on Sunday. The 2026 U.S. Open is now just one week away. The ATP Cincinnati tournament has shown us that a number of American players will be in the hunt in New York. Taylor Fritz and Brandon Nakashima will be prominent contenders after their runs in Cincy. They will join Ben Shelton as American title contenders, even though Shelton lost early in Ohio. Now Frances Tiafoe has put his name into the conversation, reaching the top 12 of the ATP rankings. Tiafoe is a former U.S. Open semifinalist, so he can’t be written off as a contender in New York. If he can beat Arthur Fils in the final and win his first-ever 1,000-point championship, his stock will rise even more. LWOS has our best bet for the match. Post your best bets and thoughts in the comments.ATP CincinnatiArthur Fils – Frances Tiafoe: 16:30 ESTH2H: 1-0This ATP Cincinnati match is historic. It is only the seventh ATP final between two black players. It is the first 1,000-point final between two Black players. Frances Tiafoe played Ben Shelton in the 2024 Houston final, which was one of the previous six all-Black ATP Tour championship matchups. Now he stands across the net from Arthur Fils. Both players are in the top 12 of the rankings, but this match is less about the points and the prize money. It’s a lot more about the trophy. It would easily be the biggest title for either man. This is for history more than the next week’s tour rankings.Arthur Fils has looked excellent at this ATP Cincinnati event. He has won four of his five matches this week in straight sets. He beat Flavio Cobolli in straight sets in the semifinals on Saturday. Fils, injured earlier in the season, looks strong and healthy and is showing what he can do when everything is working well. The Frenchman is on the doorstep of a huge achievement. Unlike Tiafoe, he has not been to the Cincinnati final before. Tiafoe made the final two years ago against Jannik Sinner. Will that detail matter or not?Frances Tiafoe got upset early in his hometown Washington event a few weeks ago. That was an ugly loss, but in retrospect, it might have freed him up and enabled him to be physically fresher going into this ATP Cincinnati tournament. Tiafoe has caught fire, winning his last three matches in straight sets over good players: Felix Auger-Aliassime, Lorenzo Musetti, and on Saturday in the semifinals, Brandon Nakashima. Tiafoe did not have an easy draw, but he has very steadily made his way through to the final and has reminded American tennis fans that he, not just Taylor Fritz or Ben Shelton, has a chance to make some noise in New York.Best Bet to MakeWelcome to our best bet section. You’re going to get a collection of bets to consider, also a confidence level which should guide how much you should invest in this match.Parlay/hedge options: Fils moneyline at 1.55 at @1xbetConfidence level on a scale of 1-10: 4 – You should not bet more than half a unit on this match.Tiafoe being this much of an underdog is a little surprising, given his form and the caliber of players he has beaten in this ATP Cincinnati tournament. He has taken down multiple top-20 players, not a bunch of chumps. Yet, he is being priced as a very clear underdog. Fils might win the match, but Tiafoe should definitely win a set. You could also go over 2.5 sets, but Tiafoe has won his last three matches in straights, so it’s safer to just bet Tiafoe on the set spread.That being said, betting on Tiafoe +1.5 sets is the best bet you can make.Value bet/ the best odds: Tiafoe +1.5 sets at 1.60 at @coral
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